Joel BrighamJoel Brigham Email Print 0

Every year, I put together a collection of 50 predictions for the upcoming NBA season, and the 2012-13 season is no exception. The following is part one of two (the second chunk will come later in the week) featuring predictions for individuals and teams. Part two will feature predictions for the playoffs, rookies and potential transactions.

As always, these are mostly just wild guesses, but any time a member of the media makes these kinds of predictions, that’s all they are. Your own predictions are just wild guesses, too. Let’s all just admit that and get it out of the way before any of these infuriate somebody.

We’ll come back to these at the end of the season to see how many I got right, but for now, enjoy the first 25 predictions, and feel free to hit up the comment section with more of your own!

Individual Predictions

1. LeBron James will win the MVP award, averaging over 8 rebounds per game (for the first time in his career) in the process.

2. Kevin Durant will lead the league in scoring, besting the second-place scorer by at least 1.5 points per game.

3. Steve Nash will take back the assists crown this year, edging out Rajon Rondo, Chris Paul and Deron Williams.

4. Derrick Rose will return in March and play in at least fifteen regular season games.

5. JaVale McGee will average over 2.5 blocks per game.

6. Andrew Bynum will play in fewer than 62 games this season.

7. After losing out on the accolade last year because of injuries and bad PR, Dwight Howard will win his fourth Defensive Player of the Year award in five years.

8. Scott Skiles isn’t going to make it through the year as the head coach of the Milwaukee Bucks.

9. Glen Davis will lead the Orlando Magic in scoring this season.

10. Phoenix’s Goran Dragic will keep up the statistical pace he managed as a starter in Houston

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Join HOOPSWORLD’s Alex Kennedy for his weekly NBA chat this Wednesday at 3 p.m. ET. Submit your questions early because this chat fills up fast!

Deven

Who’s your favorite team heading into this season, not named Miami or Los Angeles Lakers?

Alex Kennedy

What’s up everyone? Thanks for submitting your questions. The NBA season is finally here so there’s plenty of things for us to talk about. Let’s jump right in.

My top-tier teams are the Miami Heat, Los Angeles Lakers, Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs. In my opinion, those are the elite teams entering the season. Teams like the Indiana Pacers, Los Angeles Clippers, Denver Nuggets and Boston Celtics are very good, but they’re a notch below the Heat, Lakers, Thunder and Spurs. Those teams have so much talent and I think one of them will end up hoisting the Larry O’Brien trophy when all is said and done.

dennis

Do you think that the pacers can win more that 53 games in the regular season?
I think that this team has the best bench in the east. What’s your opinion?

Alex Kennedy

It’s possible. The Pacers are a very talented group and I love their confidence. They have an us-against-the-world mentality and everyone in that locker room has bought in. I think they’re going to be better than they were last season because they have much more chemistry entering this year. At the beginning of last season, they were still trying to get new pieces like David West and George Hill acclimated, which wasn’t easy during the lockout-shortened season. Now, after a full year and a normal training camp, the Pacers should be even better.

Also, they’ve really improved their bench, as you mentioned. I’m not sure if they have the best bench in the East, but they’re certainly up there. I love the additions of D.J. Augustin, Gerald Green and Ian Mahinmi. Also, I’m a huge Orlando Johnson fan so I’m curious to see if he’ll get some minutes and emerge as a scorer off the bench. The Pacers are the second-best team in the East this season and they’ve done an excellent job building a team that’ll be competitive for years to come.

Deven

How Stunned are you that Harden got traded to the Rockets? And why would Presti pull this off now rather than later?

Alex Kennedy

I was surprised. I really thought that James Harden would remain in Oklahoma City. I’ve spent some time with that group of guys and they were extremely close. They were like a family and they did everything together. I understand the move, but that didn’t make it any less shocking.

Sam Presti made this move now so that Harden’s contract situation wouldn’t be a distraction throughout the season. Also, the Houston Rockets’ offer likely would’ve gotten worse had Presti waited. The Rockets wanted to acquire Harden before October 31 so that they could sign him to a five-year extension.

Deven

Well so much for you experts picking James Harden to win sixth man the year for the second straight year in a row, since it’s likely he’ll be a starter in Houston. Now who’s the most likely candidate for that award?

Alex Kennedy

Right now, I’d say that the top candidates to win Sixth Man of the Year are Kevin Martin, Jamal Crawford, Jason Terry, Lou Williams and Nick Young. All of those guys are scorers who are capable of putting up huge numbers off of the bench. They are all on new teams and the award will go to whoever fits best with their new squad.

LA in LA

I think Rockets are going to be disappointed if they really think Harden is a “Franchise, foundational” player.

Unfortunately I think he’s good enough to decrease their chances of getting a top 3 pick by at least 40% (don’t focus too much on the number). Agreed?

Alex Kennedy

You may be right. The Rockets may be a middle of the pack team, which is what they’ve been for several years now. That’s always tough because you’re not good enough to be competitive in the playoffs but you’re not bad enough to get a top pick that yields a franchise player. It’s almost better to be terrible for a year or two just so you can get a top draft pick and someone to build around. Lin, Harden, Parsons, Patterson and Asik may not be bad enough to win the lottery for Houston.

akinyele

Who is better rondo or westbrook. i say westbrook because better scorer, quicker, he is a real pg who makes others around him better, coach trusts him with his offense, better shooter, three throw shooter. westbrook went to the finals last season. if you take away the stars and shooters surrounding rondo, he will become bad.

Alex Kennedy

Rajon Rondo and Russell Westbrook are both excellent players. It really depends what pieces you have around them. On a team with a bunch of scorers, I’d take Rondo because he’s the perfect facilitator and he’ll make sure everyone gets their touches. On a team that needs help on offense, I’d take Westbrook because he’s capable of taking over games and scoring the ball. I’m taking Chris Paul over both of them though. Just saying.

Joe

Hi Alex, thanks for taking the time out to answer questions. As a Bulls fan I’m wondering what you think this season will bring for us?

Alex Kennedy

I’m not sure what to expect from the Bulls this season. I wasn’t a big fan of their offseason moves. I think they would’ve been better off bringing back guys like C.J. Watson, Ronnie Brewer and Kyle Korver rather than bringing in new faces like Nate Robinson, Marco Belinelli and Kirk Hinrich. With that said, Tom Thibodeau is an excellent coach and the Bulls still have plenty of talent in their starting lineup, so I think they’ll manage to stay afloat until Derrick Rose comes back. I predicted that they would finish second in the Central Division and I think they’ll end up as the fifth of sixth seed in the East. By the time the playoffs come around, they should be completely healthy so they’ll be better than their record indicates and they’ll be a tough out. At the end of the day, they’re still a contender, even if nobody is giving them much of a shot entering the season.

brian

who are you picking tonight between the clippers and grizzlies and why?

Alex Kennedy

I’ll go with the Clippers. I think they’re going to surprise people this season. They had a great offseason and they’re one of the deepest teams in the league. Chris Paul is now healthy and has chemistry with the starters, Blake Griffin should continue to make strides and DeAndre Jordon looked excellent during the preseason. This isn’t a young, up-and-coming team anymore. With a supporting cast of Caron Butler, Chauncey Billups, Jamal Crawford, Grant Hill, Lamar Odom, Eric Bledsoe, Matt Barnes, Willie Green and Ronny Turiaf, they’re in win-now mode. I’m excited to see what this team can do. Let’s hope Vinny Del Negro stays out of the way.

Bryan

I know its only one game but the Mavs looked good considering their without Dirk and Kaman. When fully healthy a deep bench and great coach I can see this Mavs team being very dangerous your thoughts?

Alex Kennedy

The Mavericks looked great last night. I was very impressed with Darren Collison, Elton Brand and Jae Crowder. They really played well and their jobs will only get easier when Dirk Nowitzki and Chris Kaman come back. This is a very deep team with a lot of veteran contributors. Teams aren’t going to want to run into Dallas in the postseason.

Peter

What do you think what could be the role and stats for Klay Thompson and Brandon Roy. Could be Brandon the player that used to be?
Thanks from Barcelona!

Alex Kennedy

The Warriors are counting on Klay Thompson to take the next step in his development this season. He showed glimpses of brilliance toward the end of last season, averaging 18.6 points in the final month of the season. They need him to consistently play at that level, and I think he’s capable of doing it. He was outstanding during summer league, easily one of the best players on the court. This could be a big year for Thompson.

I don’t think Brandon Roy will be the player that he used to be, but I do think he’ll be a solid contributor for the Timberwolves. I don’t see Roy returning to All-Star form, but I think he can still be better than a lot of shooting guards in this league. He looked good during the preseason. He was pain-free and his minutes weren’t limited, which are great signs for Minnesota. Roy will make the Wolves better and put up solid numbers, but expecting him to be the star that he was with the Portland Trail Blazers is unrealistic given everything he’s been through.

Jacob

How do you think the Rockets will do this year?

Alex Kennedy

I think Jeremy Lin is going to be voted into the All-Star game because of his worldwide popularity. I think James Harden is going to put up huge numbers now that his minutes and touches will increase. I think Omer Asik will surprise people and prove that he’s a solid starting center. With that said, I don’t think Houston will make the playoffs. The Western Conference is just too competitive this season. I think they’ll finish behind other up-and-coming teams like Utah and Minnesota, which means they’ll be back in the lottery. Then, it’ll be on Daryl Morey to use their cap space and make a splashy move next summer like, say, signing Josh Smith.

frank

Do you think Kosta Koufos can win the MIP? Karl has designated him the starter and in preseason he showed he can more than double his 5point 5 rebound average from last year.

Alex Kennedy

If his preseason numbers are any indication, he’ll definitely be in the mix. With that said, I can’t see him holding onto that starting job for long. The Nuggets are paying JaVale McGee too much money to sit him on the bench. I’m expecting big years from Nikola Pekovic, Omer Asik and DeAndre Jordan so I think they could be in the mix as well.

Marvin

What do you rate the raptors team out of 10 and do you see them being a top 4 team in the east in the coming years?

Alex Kennedy

I like the Raptors and I think they’ll be in the playoff hunt this season. With that said, they play in arguably the toughest division in the NBA, which will make things difficult for them. They had a great offseason – I love the additions of Kyle Lowry, Jonas Valanciunas and Terrence Ross – and I think they’re heading in the right direction. I don’t think they’ll be a top four team in the East, though, because I don’t see teams like the Miami Heat, Indiana Pacers, Brooklyn Nets, New York Knicks or Chicago Bulls falling off anytime soon.

big kev

How much do you see Rasheed Wallace helping the Knicks? Personally I don’t think he has much left in the tank to be a true contributor.
Also, do you see the Raptors making JV their starter for the entire season barring injury? Or could someone else take his spot?

Alex Kennedy

Rasheed Wallace didn’t bring much to the table for the Celtics back in the 2009-10 season, so it’s hard to imagine him being a significant contributor now. I understand why the Knicks signed him, he’s a low-risk, high-reward addition at this point and it’s worth a shot to see what he has left. I wouldn’t get my hopes up though. I’m expecting the Sheed we saw in Boston, which was hard to watch at times.

I think Jonas Valanciunas should be the starter. It seems like he’s ready to contribute right away and I think throwing him in there will only help his development.

can pelister

what is your opinions about Enes Kanter and Omer Asik? Greetings from Turkey, Istanbul.

Alex Kennedy

Enes Kanter is still very raw, but he’s shown glimpses of how good he could be. He was a monster in the preseason and he’s clearly a big part of Utah’s long-term plan. It’s only a matter of time before he’s starting for the Jazz, just like Derrick Favors. If I’m Utah, I’m moving Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap to hand the reins over to Kanter and Favors. Give them more minutes and touches, and let them develop.

I’m a big Omer Asik fan. In our Sunday Topic article two weeks ago, I predicted a breakout year for Asik. Here’s what I wrote:

“After coming off the bench for the Chicago Bulls during the first two years of his career, Asik will take on a bigger role as a starter for the Houston Rockets. Asik signed a three-year, $25.1 million deal over the offseason and now all eyes will be on the 26-year-old to see what he can do with increased minutes.

Asik is one of the best defenders in the league and he’ll finally get the recognition he deserves. Not only is he a great shot blocker and rebounder, he can singlehandedly turn Houston into an elite defensive team. Last season, the Bulls gave up 7.6 points per 100 possessions less when Asik was on the floor. The numbers show that few players impact a game defensively like Asik. Of all NBA players to defend at least 250 plays last year, Asik ranked No. 1 in the league, allowing just 0.653 points per play. The Rockets, a team that loves advanced analytics, saw this and made an offer that Chicago couldn’t match.

Offensively, Asik still has some developing to do, but this season he’ll get more touches than ever before. Last season, Asik averaged just 3.1 points in 14.7 minutes, so averaging a career-high in scoring shouldn’t be difficult, especially since Jeremy Lin likes to find his big men for easy baskets. With that said, anything that Asik contributes on the offensive end is just a bonus; his true impact is seen on the defensive end and on the boards. This could be a big year for the center, who remains extremely underrated.

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Bill IngramBill Ingram Email Print 0

The post-LeBron James Cleveland Cavaliers have the distinction of holding the longest losing streak in NBA history, which many would argue makes them the worst team in the history of the NBA. This season, the Charlotte Bobcats are working to make sure the Cavaliers maintain that distinction.

Last season’s Bobcats had the worst year, statistically, in NBA history, going 7-59 in the lockout-shortened, 66-game marathon. They ended the season on a 23-game losing streak, just three shy of Cleveland’s record-breaking bout with futility, and so they must win one of their first four games to avoid supplanting the Cavaliers in that most dubious of records.

Some head coaches would probably prefer to have their team focus on the season at hand, not dwell on the failures of the past, especially a new head coach who had nothing to do with the past. In the case of Bobcats head coach Mike Dunlap, however, he wants his team focused on that record and on avoiding it.

“I think we’ve got to talk about it and we’ve got to get it done at some point, and obviously the sooner the better,” Dunlap told HOOPSWORLD. “It’s an ownership issue for all of us, so the sooner we can address that the better off, but I think that the elephant in the locker room is the one you got to shoot and we got to get that thing done.”

“Ownership means we own it, we avoid nothing,” Dunlap continued. “It’s there, everybody is talking about it in terms of… it’s one of those things the media wants to bring to you with heaviness. Like you eluded to, it’s an opportunity to knock one off the board, let’s go get it and talk about it openly because I think if you avoid those things, there’s a lot of other things that lead to that kind of thinking and I’m not of those, let’s go right at it.”

Ben Gordon, likewise, is new to the losing streak, but he is no stranger to rebuilding and he likes what he has seen from his new teammates in preseason.

“If you look at the energy of the guys, each and every game hasn’t wavered,” Gordon said. “That’s a good sign, regardless of it’s a win or, early on, a first win, or if it was a loss. The main thing is to just be consistent with your energy and your effort and eventually things will fall your way.”

A couple of guys who suffered through last season’s futility are very optimistic that the Bobcats can take a step forward and avoid setting a new dubious record.

“Definitely,” said Kemba Walker without hesitation. “We’ll be fine. What happened last year, it happens. Teams lose and they have bad years. The good teams are the teams who stick together through all the battles and through all the bad times. The only thing we can do is go up; we can’t do any worse. I think we’re getting a lot better as a team and it’s been showing.”

“I think it’s there,” said Gerald Henderson of the subject of the losing streak. “It’s there and you can’t really avoid it. But we do have a new team, we do have five new guys that are going to play, as well as a brand new coach and new coaching staff. We have a whole new attitude and style of play, so we want a fresh start, but it’s there. We want to go ahead and get our first win early, so that can be a goal of ours, to get it out of the way early so we’ll be looking to do that.”

One area that Henderson believes his team has improved already is their defensive scheme.

“I think, number one, our defense has been pretty good,” Henderson said. “We’ve played some pretty good defensive quarters and Coach has been trying out different groups to see if we can pressure a bit more. We’ve used smaller groups so we can do a lot of switching and keep our pressure on. I think our defense has been definitely pretty good in preseason.”

The Bobcats did win one preseason game, and while that doesn’t count towards ending the streak, it’s a positive sign. Their season begins on Friday, when they host the Indiana Pacers, and then they play in Phoenix, host Dallas and then go to New Orleans. Their best bet at ending the streak might be the Suns game, as Phoenix has a number of new faces and young players, much like the Bobcats do. It would certainly be a nice reward for their home crowd if they ended the steak before it reaches record proportions and if they did so in the friendly confines of Time Warner Cable Arena.

Sessions Hopes To Bring Some Lakers Mojo

One key influence as the Charlotte Bobcats look to avoid a date with destiny is newcomer Ramon Sessions, who spent part of last season as the starting point guard for the Los Angeles Lakers. He talks with HOOPSWORLD about his new team, how his time in Los Angeles and playing with Kobe Bryant changed his perspective and more in this exclusive interview:

Lin Hopes For A Winning Beginning

The 2012-13 NBA season officially got underway last night, but after just three games last night, the vast majority of the league will actually kick off their schedules tonight. Among them is the Houston Rockets, a team very much in disarray, but also a team with a great deal of potential. That potential starts with point guard Jeremy Lin, once discarded by the franchise and now hailed a franchise cornerstone. He will make the first opening night start of his career as the Rockets take on the Detroit Pistons this evening.

“I just want to help the team win,” Lin said in a recent interview with Rockets.com. “We really want to get this game. We want to get off to the right start. I think this team believes in itself and I think tonight we need to come out and do a great job of getting out to a fast start and then closing the game. I think that’s important for us, especially going forward with the season we’re going to have

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